(This story first was published at Sportsbook Wire, part of the USA TODAY Sports Media Group.)
In a 12-round IBF world heavyweight championship bout, Anthony Joshua and Daniel Dubois meet Saturday at Wembley Stadium in London. The fight will take place at approximately 5:30 p.m. ET (DAZN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Joshua vs. Dubois odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.
Records: Joshua (28-3-0, 25 KOs) | Dubois (21-2-0, 20 KOs)
Joshua looks to snatch the IBF Interim World Heavyweight belt off of Dubois. He picked up a 2nd-round KO/TKO win over Francis Ngannou in early March in Saudi Arabia. He also had a win over Otto Wallin before that in Riyadh, while knocking out Robert Helenius in the 7th round at O2 arena in Aug. 2023.
Joshua has won 4 straight fights since losing back-to-back bouts to Oleksandr Usyk in Sept. 2021 in Tottenham, U.K., and Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.
Dubois has picked up consecutive victories via TKO against Jarrell Miller and Filip Hrgovic in Riyadh. Before that, he also suffered a setback to Usyk, the class of the division, with a 9th-round loss via knockout.
Joshua stands just 1 inch taller than his counterpart, but he has a 4-inch reach advantage.
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Joshua vs. Dubois odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook: access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.
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Fight result (2-way line): Joshua -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Dubois +280 (bet $100 to win $280)
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Total Rounds 7.5: (Over -125 | Under -110)
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Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +300 | No -450)
Joshua vs. Dubois picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
Backing Joshua (-350) on the 2-way line will cost you 4 times your potential return. That’s way too much risk for not enough reward. On the flip side, you can’t trust Dubois (+280) straight for the upset, either.
Let’s get a little more specific. Joshua has 28 career victories, with 25 of those wins, or 89.29%, coming via knockout. So, if you like the Briton to win, you should like him to end this fight early via KO.
As such, play JOSHUA IN ROUNDS 7-12 (+188) in Round Group Betting 3, if you’re a little more on the conservative side.
If you’re a little more conservative, and you don’t want to declare a winner, playing ROUNDS 7-12 (+138) for when the fight will be won in Round Group Betting 4 is worth a play.
Over/Under (O/U)
No (-450): Will the fight go the distance? will cost you 4 times your potential return. That’s way too much risk, and not nearly enough reward.
While the fight isn’t expected to need the judges to decide a winner, it shouldn’t end prior to Round 7, either. OVER 7.5 ROUNDS (-125) is a solid play, as a result.
This article originally appeared on MMA Junkie: Anthony Joshua vs. Daniel Dubois odds, picks and predictions
